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Old 11-28-2004, 10:42 AM
StellarWind StellarWind is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 704
Default Re: Calling a raise in the big blind with AQ

I would consider betting the flop hoping to 3-bet. This looks to be more profitable than checkraising:

1. You have a good chance of winning so every bet in the pot helps you.

2. Many opponents will stay in no matter what on this flop. Three bets is better than two bets.

3. Anyone who would fold to a checkraise is probably correct to do so. Trapping them for three bets is more profitable.

4. You may be behind and drawing in which case forcing out other drawing hands is probably not a good idea. You want their money padding the pot.

On the turn after he raises, possible hands are AA, QQ, 99, AQ, A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], and A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].

That's 5 hands that beat you, 4 hands that tie you, and 4 hands you beat. Note the disparity in your outs versus his outs and this does not feel very good. I think it's time to play for overcalls. 3-betting and risking a cap does not seem profitable.
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