[mrbaseball]

I have never been much of a totals player but I know there is money to made there so I started a database this season to try and figure some stuff out. I just have my computer spit out the matchups and then I look at the pitching to see if I give it a yea or a nay. Anyway this is what it gave me today. So far these have been working out better than I would have expected.

STL/HOU Under 9.5 -110
SD/MIL Under 10 +105
AZ/LA Over 8 -105
MIN/KC Under 9.5 -115
TEX/TOR Under 10.5 -120

Reasoning explained. As always I want to ask and answer the question "how often does it happen?" Anyway I basically look at median scores (not averages!) of both the home and away team and see how often they are over or under the number and then adjust for pitching concerns if I feel that is warranted. So todays analysis goes like this:

STL under 9.5 on the road 15 out of 22 (68%)
HOU under 9.5 at home 16 out of 25 (64%)
Under 9.5 -110 is a go!

SD under (or at) 10 on the road 17 out of 25 (68%)
MIL under (or at) 10 at home 14 out of 24 (58%)
Under 10 +105 is a go!
Tankersley is a concern though?

AZ over (or at) 8 on the road 17 out of 28 (58%)
LA over (or at) 8 at home 14 out of 22 (63%)
8 of 10 of Webbs starts go over this season and over 8 is a go!

Min under 9.5 on the road 14 out of 24 (58%)
KC under 9.5 at home 14 out of 22 (63%)
Under is close to no play but still a go!
Santana been sucky but he's pretty good (and due for ok start)

TEX under 10.5 on the road 20 out of 24 (83%!!!!)
TOR under 10.5 at home 18 out of 25 (72%)
Even at -120 this one gets a double gold star play of the day [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Good luck!