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Old 12-18-2005, 06:47 PM
Cosimo Cosimo is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 199
Default Re: set vs unknown raiser nl100

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Easy push, if he's got an overset then he misplayed this hand.

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If he's got an overset, then he's getting all of OP's stack if OP continues betting. Top and second set have pretty much broken the deck here, and that's why I see him betting $6. Maybe that's a mistake, but either everyone's gonna fold, or some stupid draw is gonna stick around, and that stupid draw is just dumping money. JT is the only thing an overset fears here, and since you can't buy a free card OOP I don't think Villain thinks Hero has JT.

After the flop, Hero has $76, Villain has $80, into a $56 pot. If villain has an overset, I think he can expect stacks to go in the middle by the end, so why not slowplay?

I'm not sure what an overset fears. If Villain has QQ, KK is a threat but it's unlikely that Hero has it (due to preflop action). If hero has a lone king, then it would take runner-runner for hero to win. If Villain has KK, then the only thing he fears is probably the case 6, which is damn thin.
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