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Old 11-28-2005, 07:22 PM
betgo betgo is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 792
Default Re: Ansky451 is weak-tight at heart*

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wtf world do you play in.

You have 15bb open from the button and one of the blinds pushes back??

for heavens sake stick it in there it doesnt seem close.

-Jason

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I think you missed the read.

SB called and uber tight BB basically sets you all in? I think TT+/AK or JJ+/AK is the range you're looking at here. With 44:26 (1.7:1) effective odds you need 37% equity. You don't have the odds against that range. Don't forget that the SB is still in there.

And nh on Sunday.

Everett

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It is very unlikely that SB flat called with TT-AA, so I don't see the problem in SB being in the hand. SB being in the hand makes for a fatter pot to push at.

Maybe BB just hasn't had any cards. If the table is playing loose, I will often play real tight.

I just can't see how you can put someone on a range tight enough that this isn't a pot odds call with 99.

OP is weak tight. This fold is almost as bad as the alleged fold in the Gigabet post.

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The only hand in his range that im "beating" is AK. I am pretty sure that his range does not include 88 and lower (ever) and rarely, if ever, AQ.

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Why do you assume that someone who is this far along in a $500 tournament will play the hand that badly? Flat calling with AQ would be a really bad play. I don't think you know enough about villain to know he would misplay AQ here. He might be tight because he is afraid to play a flop, but willing to push.

This is a classic resteal / squeeze play situation. I am pushing from the BB with any raising hand and a lot of other hands.

You are getting 37% pot odds. AK is 56% QQ-KK is 20%. Even if you know that villain will push with those hands and no others, calling is still slightly EV+, because the odds of getting AK are 1.21% and that of AA-QQ 1.36%.

Even if this were slightly EV-, it is to your advantage to gamble at this stage, and it is not good for table image to fold to a reraise.
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