Re: QJo 20-40
you can be pretty sure that no one has a 4 - they raise the turn or do something - but you can't be 100%. You can be near 100% no one has a flush since they would almost have to bet this river - with 2 people calling along, it would be hard for a flush to think they could check raise. Let's add to this a flush should not fear a FH with this board.
Given this, a bet might net you 1/6 of the pot and is only likely to cost you if you are against AJ. The dude with the nines is terrifying - what the hell he could be thinking is quite unclear. That said, if you knew he was this terrifying, you need to give him a chance to be terrifying on the river as well, since it's just not that likely anyone can beat you.
I think I would cold call on the flop and raise the turn here, but what you did was ok.
You'd love to knock out a weaker J or QJ, since you can so easily be tied in the case you are ahead. No one has AK so letting someone call 2 cold is not a big deal on the flop, and you're more likely to knock somone out with a turn raise.
Dan Z.
Dan Z.
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