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Old 12-28-2005, 08:35 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: Stumbling Through Purgatory

I definitely like the first two streets.

The turn is just a classic tough "poker-playing" decision.

Most players aren't just check-raising a hand like QJ or something like that. This is much more likely to be a monster (a set), or a bluff/semi-bluff (a 3). At a higher limit, I'd probably opt for a calldown as the turn play is more likely to be smoke and players are less likely to have hands that make, say, two pair.

Here it's damn marginal either way. Getting 6-1 on a calldown, you need to be ahead here like 15%. You'll be drawn out on a fair amount of the time you are ahead now, so you should probably say you need to be ahead like 20% of the time in order to make a calldown here good, in my opinion.

It's close either way. I guess I like a calldown when push comes to shove, though.
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