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Old 10-14-2005, 04:31 PM
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Default To take or not take coinflip

Domeski,

Thanks for the intelligent response.

Just to re-update for rest of group:

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40/80 blinds to go up to 60/120 in two minutes
After early position raise with 99, I'm down to 2000 chips
Villain in middle position (weak-tight and at 930) raises me all in. Fold to me.
Assume he has AK (rightly or wrongly), I decide to call.

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You don't think that with the blinds a minute or two away from being at 60/120, with 2200 chips, that taking 1.8:1 pot odds for a coin flip is good? That's not a rhetorical, I'd just like a little elaboration, if possible. Yes, I lose another 740 chips if opponent hits, but how playable are those 740 chips saved at 60/120, now down to 2000 chips. In the alternative, how playable is 1250 additional chips, now with 3200 total (if I win) at 60/120? I think in the short run, the call doesn't look that good. But in the long run, the 50/50 of having 3200 is more valuable than the 100% of having 2000.

If this reasoning is faulty, why, and how much longer should I have waited before starting to take a race?
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