Re: help me understand - overpushing big draws
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I like to look at it this way. Raising to $70 here is almost always a better move, both in the space of this play and for metagame considerations. If he has AK, he still folds right? If he pushes, oh well. We call. Trust me, a push is not folding JJ+ anyway, so don't worry about the fold equity here. If he does end up pushing AK.. well we're a pretty solid favorite. I'll live. And honestly, I think a raise to $70 has the same exact FE as a push, with the obviously positive bonus of sometimes allowing you to see a free card if he does just call with JJ+ (which is certainly possible).
Metagame, this move is a lot sexier because it lets you not play your strong made hands by over pushing, which will fold out marginal hands (on this board, there aren't too many, but you don't want to fold out TPGK so easily).
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amen
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