Re: 400nl AK turn decision vs. deep opponent
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Yeah as I wrote, he's "sort of a donkey", he hasn't exactly been throwing his money at me.
But when I call the turn what's the plan for the river? Pot will be $340 and we'll have lots of $$$ behind, and he's not the kind to make a blocking bet that's a min-bet. In other words I might face a close to pot be on the river.
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If you raise the turn, will he still be inclined to bet a worse hand for value on the river? If not, you can make a smallish (1/2- to 2/3-pot) raise on the turn and fold to a reraise or a river donkbet without committing as much as if you call turn and call a pot bet on the river. Basically, your turn raise is a blocking bet to set your price for showdown but its no good if a call of the turn raise followed by a river bet could possibly be a worse hand.
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Yeah, I don't see him 3-betting the turn or donking the river for several hundred with just a weak pair, so I like a turn raise to ~$300 for the reasons Ghazban says
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