Re: Pot Odds / Flush Draws
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Maybe this makes sense, maybe it doesn't
'm terrible at figuring odds. Let's say the pot is $12 after the flop. My opponent bets all in for $12. So my pot odds are betting $12 to win $24.
If I have a good flush draw (9 outs), then I'm roughly 37% to win and 63% to lose.
So is this a +EV call long term. it would seem to be w/ two cards to come. Correct?
With one card though, this would be a -EV call since I'm only going to be about 18%.
So can I 'price' myself into chasing flush draws after hitting a flop if the pot is the right size - roughly the same size as my stack or my opponent who I want to get all in if I hit?
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With 2 cards to come you only call here if you or your opponent is all-in. Otherwise, the 80% of the time you miss on the turn you'll have to fold if he bets enough to deny you odds to see the river.
Odds with 2 cards to come are only relevant if there will be no more betting after that.
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