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Old 07-14-2005, 12:46 AM
MrWookie47 MrWookie47 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: ^^ That wookie
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Default Re: AK overcard headsup play

I can't let this post go by without responding. This post includes real reads, not just stats. It has thorough and complete though processes. Hell, it's even readable after the changes that b0rked the converter. Way to go, OP. You get a gold star, and you saved Razz. I see that you haven't been around the forums much, but if you put this much effort into all your posts (and replies!), both you and the forum will benefit greatly.

One of the things I take my closest notes on is what villains donkbet (donkbet generally means a bet out from a player who was not an aggressor on a previous street). BB donkbetting this flop could mean a lot of things, especially since it's a HU blind defense. Some players donkbet when they have nothing. Some donkbet when they hit a monster. Some donkbet their marginal hands, but check/raise their monsters. Donkbetting and blind defense, however, go hand in hand.

Players frequently have a SOP when it comes to blind defense. Some bet out any flop to see if it hit you, and they'll fold to a raise. Some check/raise any flop to try and fold you. Some will only bet or check/raise when they hit. Some will just call call call with anything or nothing. Some will give up on the flop. Some will peel any flop, but fold the turn. The important thing is that it seldom changes (when it does, you know something big is up). Learning this about your opponents (even just a part) is HUGE, espeically since this seems to be a tight table. 1/2 is known for increased tightness relative to .50/1, so blind stealing and defense becomes that much more important.

Once BB donks you, I see two possible courses of action: yours (although betting the turn and checking the river if he doesn't lead again), and alternatively calling the flop, and folding the turn UI. The fact that BB is aggressive favors the first (since he'll bet with a lot of hands, the raise may be for value), but the fact that he tends to call down when it's obvious he's beaten leans somewhat towards the second (the raise won't fold a pair of 3s). Since your read says he doesn't fold much, your choice of line should hinge primarily on what he'll bet here. Will he bet with a flush draw? Ace high? Any two? Will he only bet with a pair? The more hands you can put him on when he bets, the better the raise. Your raise is marginal, but it may be +EV against some aggressive players. I think your fold on the turn is good. That play looks a lot like 7x that is relieved that a broadway card didn't fall.

Nice hand. Nice post.
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