View Single Post
  #19  
Old 11-21-2005, 09:56 PM
hagel666 hagel666 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 25
Default Re: Bizarre event, how likely is this?

[ QUOTE ]
Totally wrong way of looking at it.

How many times have you played about 90 hands and that not happened?

Let me give you an analogy.

Let's say the chances of walking around a corner and bumping into someone you haven't seen for 40 years is about 2 million to one.

I imagine that you walk around billions of corners in your life.

Thus, although on any PARTICULAR occassion it would be weird to bump into said person but in your entire life it would be weird if you that 'coincidence' didn't happen.

Likewise with the poker. If you said, "what is the probability that within the next 90 hands , we get 2 hands where I get the same starting hand and the flop is identical, then the probability is very small.

However, the probability of this hapening within the space of 90 hands at some point is vitually certain because of the number of hands played.

In fact, if this never happened on PP where they are currently on hand number 3,070,044,011 then that would be better evidence of a fix.

Why fix it anyway? They take the rake, so what do they care?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I know unlikely events happens all the time, just thought this was pretty special because of same player/pos/flop. And I thought it would be fun to know what the probability is.....but I guess it's to many variables and to complicated equation to solve.

For your info, I didn't say it was fixed/rigged or anything [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote