Re: Mathmetically speaking
I agree with you completely, just trying to get my head around why not.
If I flipped a coin 100 times and all were heads, the chance of getting a tails in the next throw is exactly the same as before; however over the next hundred throws why not bet a bit more on tails as surely it should even out?
btw, I am running normally and just thinking from a hypothetical point of view.
I know the rule is that you have exactly the same chance as before, but in the long run surely varience is going to level out - however the speed of this regression is not determined and it could be a gradual one as opposed to a sharp one.
Just some crazy thoughts,
Hope that it makes sense, ish
David
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