Re: First to Act Post Flop - Counting outs
that actually did make some sense. i think of it as a semi-bluff, and a probe bet at the same time. HOH talks about situations like this... in a heads up situation if you bet out half the pot and your opponent folds 1 time out of 3 its a break even bet even if you lose when he calls. if you occasionally win, then it takes even less folds for the bet to make sense. if you get raised then you know you're probably beaten and you can get out, which will actually save you more than if you checked and called.
before reading that i would almost always checked if i didn't catch the flop. now, if i raised before the flop i almost always put in a bet after the flop if i'm first to act. it gets enough folds to make it worthwhile. i'm not sure how many outs that worth, but it's worth a few at least. probably closer to 2 outs than 4 in the example you gave.
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