Re: Why did I do this??
right, the flop continuation bet seems alright. once you are raised, it feel's like you're up against a set. you are now on a flush draw (discounting ace and king outs) for all intensive purposes, and you're about a 2 to 1 dog.
even if you assume that the BB folds to the reraise every time, you're laying the MP such a great price he'll call virtually every time. this play is really -ev. you're risking 84 to win 122 when you are about a 2 to 1 dog. 33% of the time you win 122 (+$40.26) and 67% of the time you lose 84 (-$56.28) for an ev of -$16.02 per play. not good. even if he folds 15% of the time, which he won't, the play is still -ev (albeit thinly).
call the raise. you're getting the implied odds necessary to put another $19 in the pot.
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