Re: Theoretical tournament risk rating
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Go on... [ QUOTE ]
if you were all in 5 times with winning percentanges 70, 50, 40, 30, and 20 you get a RR=.7*.5*.4*.3*.2 = .0084
so you'd have a .84% chance of winning
[/ QUOTE ] I have a 1% chance of winning what?
All the hands. So i have a 99% chance of busting?
So your % means something else, but im not sure what it is. Or how to interpret. Qualitatively, your "TTR" approaches 0 as your # called pushes increases. ok. and worse matchups hurt it too.
How does one use this tool [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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the .84% would be the upper limit of your expected amount of tournaments wins(ie in the long run you can never win more than .84%)
its true the number approaches 0 as you increase the number of times you risk elimination, as it should. even if you pushed as a 99% favorite every time you went all in, if you do it too much you will eventually get busted
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