Re: Trouble With Set.
Looking mathematically at it, 4 players and 8 cards saw a reraised pot in full ring. I would be VERY VERY surprised if one of those 8 cards wasnt an Ace. Since Button/CO dont have an ace, and you dont, that means MP2 does. He could also have two of em. He was clearly going for a flop c/r.
So his hand range for me is:
AK/AQ with at least one big spade 50% (looking to buy a cheap showdown on blank river limit stylee)
AA- 50%
And some chance of a donkey hand.
So 3-betting turn is not a good idea, thus I call.
I check instafold a spade river, I check call a blank depending on odds given, I lead/fold to big raise a board pair, and I check raise if the board pairs aces.
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