Re: Ever give credit for quads (when holding second nuts)?
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I'm calling because a 9 is quit unlikely for both statistical reasons based on hand distributions and based on Bayesian inference from preflop action. Not many hands with a 9 get min-raised preflop. So I would say he has a 9 maybe 2-5% of the time, an ace around 50% of the time and I'm scooping around 45% of the time.
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he has a nine a lot more than 5% of the time, and you are ahead a LOT less than 45% of the time.
by the way, villain didn't minraise preflop.
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