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Old 06-10-2005, 01:24 PM
The_Bends The_Bends is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 287
Default Re: who calls this to try for trips

Assuming you know he has AA (so you will never stack off when you get set over seted) and assuming that he will push his whole stack without help then this is a correct call.

60:6 or 10:1 on your money, 7/8:1 to hit.

Run it 15 times, 13 times you miss and fold the flop, losing 13x6= $78.
2 times you hit winning 60x2= $120

Thats the basic idea, now factor in the odds that he won't stack off when you hit (say the flop comes 8d 9d Td) to reduce your EV a bit and you still have an EV+ play. No exact but it illustrates the point.
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