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Old 09-16-2005, 10:07 AM
PDosterM PDosterM is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: NM USA
Posts: 41
Default Re: A common pair vs draw situation

There are two parts to your response.

[ QUOTE ]
Regardless of how much I've made him pay on the flop, its still a mistake to give a draw a free card. The problem is since he's capable of playing an overpair the same way I don't know where I'm at when a blank hits the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

You answered your own question. It’s a mistake to not bet and allow him a free card IF HE IS ON A DRAW, but it’s a mistake for you to bet if he has an overpair. Since he has reraised you, it is more likely that he has an overpair than if he did not reraise you. Be happy his ploy for a cheap draw failed, and see what happens next.

Second:

[ QUOTE ]
BTW, I instabet the river to make him think I'm just betting because he showed weakness on the turn. I maybe get a call this way. He's not dumb enough to bet a card lower than 9 on the river so checks behind 100% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he has a card lower than a nine, the only way he can win is to bet to your river check if he thinks you were on a draw as well. Your check may induce that bluff. If you bet out on the river, I still don’t see a reasonable player folding any hand that beats you or calling with any hand you can beat. That means your river bet can lose but never win.
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