Re: A hypothesis worth testing
If you observe 3 tourneys at a time you will see this event every 5th hand in the late stages. That gets you one event every minute. Collecting data is time consuming but this is the one experiment that might actually lead somewhere.
As for sample size try this. You go to a new poker site and the first hand you get AA. It gets cracked. Next hand AA, again cracked. Repeat. Repeat. How many times will it take before you believe there's some problem here? I'm gone after 4, maybe 3.
Sample size must be large to detect tiny differences from the expected mean. It need not be huge to hint at less subtle problems. As soon as any event is running 2 SDs out (regardless of sample size) you can raise an eyebrow, collect more data and recheck your work and if all is correct you will find something is usually not as expected.
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