Re: In which I fold a straight (no flush or boat possible)
well you're getting 18.5:2 or about 9.5:1 if mp calls and doesn't reraise. We gotta figure button definitely has a jack and mp usually does so if they both have jacks you have to be splitting about once in 4, right? If button is decent he would call to get your overcall rather than raise, so it looks like he has JK. Does he have JK more than 3 out of 4 times? Probably, but I dunno. Your play seems reasonable.
EDIT: Doesn't JK raise pretty often preflop though? Maybe not a 15 PFR...i dunno
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