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Old 11-12-2005, 07:45 PM
Spicymoose Spicymoose is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 146
Default Re: 3/6 88 turn decision

[ QUOTE ]
Hmm, i dont know, after pokerstoving this a little, im beginning to think that it might be best to cap this.
If you can get button out, you'll have position, and be HU. If he thinks buttons raise is a steal, and threebets fairly liberaly, i think we're almost a coinflip compared to his range. Since we're getting 6-4 if we cap, plus position and FE, it might be worth it.

Am i wrong?

[/ QUOTE ]

At first I thought we should just call preflop, but I just PokerStoved it myself. If Button raises the top 30% of his hands or:

55+,A2s+,K5s+,Q7s+,J8s+,T8s+,98s,A7o+,A5o,K9o+,Q9o +,J9o+,T9o

and SB raises the following hands (turns out to about 14%):

77+,A8s+,K9s+,QTs+,A9o+,KTo+

Then 88 has 34% equity!

Even if we tighten things down and give button the top 25% of hands, and SB the top 10% (which would be really tight raising standards, and probably unrealistic, but I am using as a "worst case"), we still have 32% equity. This means that we have a clear cap, as along with our equity edge (or at least equity neutrality), we have initiative, and position against our most feared opponent, SB. On top of this, we get the added benefit when Button folds.
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