[Shandrax]

Bluff frequency...but how and when?

In the Draw-poker example you calculate the percentage of hitting the card which gives you the nuts. Then you check the pot-odds and calculate how many bluff-cards you need. If one of these cards hit you bet.

How do you do that in Hold'em? You calculate the percentage you hit the flush on the river. You calculate the number of bluff cards and then? I mean if you need a diamond and a deuce of spade falls, how do you make a bluff out of it? In contrast to games where the last card is not visibile in Hold'em it is obvious you missed your flush!

While the suggested method works straight forward and easy in Draw, it seems that it is impossible to do the same in Hold'em.

In Hold'em your first cards are covered, so you have to bluff "backwards". You can't make any percentage-based bluffs in the end, you have to do it in the beginning. That's my conclusion so far and I want to know where I went wrong.