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Old 03-07-2004, 11:44 AM
La Brujita La Brujita is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 517
Default Re: Bob Ciaffone One Table Quiz

The responses were not long but here they are:

Cloutier-"Fold. The most likely hands for my opponent are an ace or a pair, neither of which I can beat."

Russ Hamilton (former WSOP winner)- "Fold. I can find a better spot for my money. I'm going uphill here."

Harrington- "Call. I like the action."

Bobby Hoff (former WSOP 2nd Place finisher)- "Call. You are getting acceptable pot odds against an ace with an undercard and good odds against any underpair. You might have him in bad shape. The only enemy hands where you're totally buried are pocket aces or kings."

Steve Lott (former WSOP 4th place)-"Call. I would make this play without a second thought. I've seen the kind of crummy hands a lot of these satellite players move all in with."

McEvoy-"Fold. I can't beat ace rag, his most likely hand. The first player is the one who moved all in, so he is more likely to have something reasonable. I would bet all in with this hand without a problem, but this is not a good hand to call with."

Ciaffone-"I actually held the hand. My decision was to call. The result ... my opponent held ace rag and I fiald to improve."

He then goes into a page long discussion (which is very interesting) further explaining why he called.

Basically the reasons are:

1. tourney only pays first place, survival less important

2. You need to win 37.5 percent of time for positive ev. You are 42% against ace rag offsuit and 38% against ace rag suited. You are even money against an underpair.

3. Chances are slim you are facing a hand that has you buried (AA, KK, AK, QQ, AQ).

I thought it was a clear call for many of the same reasons above, basically you can't give up postitive ev in a winner take all format. Big blinds make you go in as an underdog sometimes.

It typed this in playing three short handed games at once. Is that talent or what? If you all don't play at Intercasino and its skins you are missing some easy money. You can make $47 in 75 minutes at William Hill by playing 4 1-2 tables.

Anyway, I have suggested in certain other threads that it is hard for good players to get their money in as 'dogs. i think this is an example. If you run the numbers against the range of likely hands it seems a positive ev call.

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