[The Dude]

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The other 64% looks like an autocall of your raise and in a lot of cases he will even reraise.


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As I'm sure you're aware, him re-raising is the same as him calling (except that I don't get to advertise my bluff as much, which is worth mentioning).

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Of the 36% of the time he has AA or KK you need him to lay it down over 40% in order to pull a profit.

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Yes, and while the opponents that will make this fold that often are indeed fairly rare, I thought this guy would over 50% of the time.

The other benefit would be that when he does call, I get to advertise my bluff. It is extremely rare when I don't want my opponents to call my river raise, and showing a bluff like this will help that cause later in the session.

Don't mistake my words, though. I ran this bluff because I thought it was profitable in this isolated instance. The meta-game consideration was a bonus.