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Old 11-17-2005, 05:55 PM
TGoldman TGoldman is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Bellevue, WA
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Default Why Two Dimes Data Is Wrong (Continued...)

I'm still confused by gergery's original post on the subject.

Let's say the game is $100 buy-in PLO/8. Both the hero and the villain started the hand with exactly $100. On the turn, the pot is heads-up and the board reads:

7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

You are the hero facing an all-in bet of $50 into a $100 pot. That is, to continue you must call your remaining $50 all-in at the chance to win a $150 pot.

Situation 1) You have a draw to the low side of the pot only, giving you exactly 25% pot equity.

Villain: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

pokenum -o8 jd qs kh kc - ad 2s 3h 4s -- 7d 8h 9s tc
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 40 enumerated boards containing 9s Tc 7d 8h
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Qs Kc Jd Kh 20 40 0 0 0 0 0 0.750
4s 2s Ad 3h 0 0 40 0 20 0 0 0.250

Situation 2) You have a draw to the high side of the pot only, giving you exactly 25% pot equity.

Villain: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

pokenum -o8 jd qs kh kc - td ts ah ks -- 7d 8h 9s tc
Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 40 enumerated boards containing 9s Tc 7d 8h
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Qs Kc Jd Kh 30 30 10 0 0 0 0 0.750
Ks Ts Td Ah 10 10 30 0 0 0 0 0.250

In both situations, twodimes.net says you have the same "EV". Yet if you were to run the two scenarios over and over again, is one situation more profitable than the other?
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