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Old 06-02-2005, 04:49 PM
piki piki is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
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Default Re: sensing weakness

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When considering you have been playing "pretty loose preflop" and your opponents appear to be tight and somewhat aggressive, I think a reraise on the flop will most likely be looking at a SB/UTG push.

...and assuming the reads on your opponents to be accurate, it is my opinion that this is an easy fold on the flop (barring additional information of course). You are getting no where near the implied odds to make this call.

I'm really on the fence about your turn bet. I see the value in it but what do you think they put you on? An eight? Unlikely... They can’t put you on AA, KK, QQ, a set, etc. you would have certainly reraised that flop. Why bet here? Heads up, maybe…I think you are too far behind this board too often and if anyone is feeling frisky then you will most certainly be put to the test on the river (if not immediately). I check-off the turn.

I like checking the turn and pushing the river better than I like your turn bet but you may have had a strong read on these two that I am not getting in your post.

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You make great points, and after reading your post you almost changed my mind. However, why would someone with TP not bet out on the turn when it paired the board? I smell two draws and I think a bet of 75% of the pot wins it outright more times than not.

Checking is a sure sign of weakness. Both players have bet preflop and flop and its still a multiway pot. Why would they now check the turn? What are they afraid of? I think Hero has a strong table image and they dont want to risk any of their stacks and are looking for a reason to get away from this hand.
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