[EnderW27]

Let's assume for the sake of argument we can narrow his hand holding down to two possibilities: AK or AA. He'll only go in with these two in this situation. Let's also assume you're beating the caller who has a lower pocket pair.

He has 12 possible AA combinations and 8 possible AK combinations so 60% of the time he'll have AA and 40% of the time he'll have AK.

Now, in that 60% of the time, you'll triple up ~18% and bust out 82%.
In the 40% you'll triple up a whopping 55% of the time and bust out 45%.

So the ev in the first instance is .18*3000 - .82 * 1000 = -280
And the ev in the second is .55*3000 - .45*1000 = +1200

(-280)*.6 + (1200)*.4 = a total ev of +312 chips. That's a lot.

So yeah, most of the time you'll be sent to the sidelines. But the rest of the time you'll absolutely dominate the table. And, on average, you'll come out ahead here.

And here's the greatest thing about these calculations: these ONLY calculate AA and AK. We didn't even discuss the odds he'd do that with AQ or 99 or he's drunk and trying to score big with his K7o. Your ev can only go up from my original estimates because of this.