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Old 08-19-2005, 10:57 AM
VivaLaViking VivaLaViking is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 97
Default Re: how much do you bet?

Assuming you don't have one of his flush cards and the flop has only two of the suited cards that concern you; he has about a 35% chance on the flop of hitting by the river. Assuming if he doesn't hit you will win; 35/100 times he wins and 65/100 you win. Consider a pot, P that now has been increased by your bet, B. If the flop bet is small enough that the relationship, B <= .35P, is true; he is correct in calling. You want to make it incorrect for him. I think 3/4 is high but it certainly should be better than his winning expectation, 35%. Having said that there is no amount that will stop some callers.
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