Re: multi-way big draw, little fold equity
Not sure why you think UTG has an over pair, you didn't really provide any reasoning. Looks like to me he missed the flop and I'd be more worried about a bigger draw then an over pair. If one of these guys has an over pair your ~53% to win. If UTG is on a bigger flush draw, like AQ, or AK of diamonds, then you're not looking good.
It would also really suck if CO has a set, but given the action, both flop bets are pretty donkish. I think given stack sizes, and the fact it's really hard to tell what these guys have here I'd prefer a raise to $40 on the flop and see how they react. Most of the time I'd prefer a push, but the action is just too wierd.
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