I'm number 2, except that I've been a winning player online for about 4 months. I was break even for about 5 months before that. I think a lot of the reason why I'm a winning player now is switching to SNG's, not because I can really play poker better. I have an easier time wrapping my head around basic bubble push/fold strategy than postflop cash game strategy. In short, I suck postflop, but my bubble play allows me to be a 15% ROI player at the 22's.