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1)Yes
2)Yes, but it shouldn't be a deterrant. Once WR is over, the bonus is cashable. It's really no different than every other casino (minus Crypto's that you can do risk-free).
3)You should be fine. I have accounts at all the skins (minus Euro) and have taken 3 casinos (planetluck, starluck, and aceclub) for about a G total and have had no problems.
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Many Thanks Iggy.
Re: Casino365, I know I'ma nervous nelly, but what do you think the chance is on a $200 deposit (total $400) to come away with less than $200 (ie- lose money) by flat betting BJ at $3 per hand?
Many Thanks,
SDM
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Lets see... 200/3 is 66 units. and 4000/3 is 1333 hands
Losing the bonus is around 15%....
http://wizardofodds.com/blackjack/bjapx12.html
SFWUSC
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Thanks SFWUSC, 15% is what Iggy said also. (Thanks to Guthrie for your post, it was good to know you never dropped below $360, that's alot of help towards me making a decision)
I'm just thinking to myself that 15% of a chance is low.
Am I correct in assuming that if I was at a $200 NL table and dealt aces and went All-in and got called by a player with a pair of kings, that it would actually be
riskier than doing the casino whoring? (as theres a 19% of losing with Aces HU?)
Cheers,
SDM
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I don't think this is right. There is a only a fifteen percent chance that you won't "lose money." I believe. Whereas with AA against KK, there is only a 19 percent chance that you won't double your money. Of course the other 19 percent of the time you will literally lose all your money (which won't happen 15 percent of the time while casino whoring), so I could be wrong, but I think the math is more advanced than just the example you just gave.
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It probably is, I failed every Maths I attempted and definately have a pseudo-Gorilla math approach.
My POV though, (enter the Gorilla math) was that in Casino whoring (specifically the Casino365 example) the ROR is 0.25 (IIRC) or 1 in 300 chance, while you have a 15% chance of losing money.
In the AA vs KK comparison, AA will win 81% of the same, but you are right I didn't think of 'splitting the pot', probably because it is quite rare, though happens. (the board would have to straight or flush)
I don't know of the remaining 19% that you don't "double up" with AA vs KK, how much of a % split pots account for.
My question though was that AA vs KK All-in for $200 seems riskier than whoring Casino365 because of the 1 in 300 chance of going broke and the 15% chance of losing money.
Anybody confirm or deny this simian example? [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]