Re: I still find it hard to believe...
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My PT database has a 40/60 split of winners/losers, FWIW.
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That's about what everyone reports here, but unless you've been playing with the same players for a lot of the time, these only represent short term numbers.
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Wouldn't everyone reporting the same thing make it a large sample?
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No, because everyone has small samples on the other players. In my database, I probably have 20-200 hands on about 95% of the players. Let's just say for the sake of argument that all 95% of the players are -1BB/100 losers with SD of 15BB/100 hands. So if each player plays 100 hands, what % of them will be up, and what % will be down, given the distribution. I'd say its 45/55 winners to losers, even though in reality ALL of the players are long-term losers, by definition.
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