Re: Check-raise river bluff: how rare is this opportunity really?
Could be something like T9. Anyways, unless you are sure that LP will always bluff his missed draw, I think betting out is more +EV than check-raising. Also, when it comes to bluffing, later position doesn't mean better position. There are a lot of situations where bluffing from an earlier position has a much better chance of succeeding. Mainly in obvious bluffing situations. E.g. rag flop gets checked through, on the turn if you want to bluff, you want to be in first position, mainly because in later position, someone will usually take a stab before you.
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