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Old 08-12-2004, 01:15 PM
fyodor fyodor is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 596
Default Re: Challanging Ed Miller\'s Criticism of Lee Jones

Miller's comments are concerning what to do on the turn after your opponent has only called on the flop.

Probability he has an Ace based on math alone:

Known cards are now = 6
Missing Aces = 3
Unkown hole cards = 18
Chances someone was dealt an Ace 3/(52-6)x18=1.17

Chances are 1 Ace was dealt. Does you opponent have it? He only called. Should you now go into checkdown mode? I guess if you are a weak tight underachiever you can. I bet again and re-evaluate based on if he now raises me.
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