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Old 08-03-2004, 08:24 PM
GuyOnTilt GuyOnTilt is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Location: Southern California
Posts: 2,405
Default Re: I think I got it now

If that is the case, how does opening the envelope influence your decision? You will switch for any value of x, yes? If so, why do we need to open the envelope? But wait...

I understand how choosing to switch makes no difference from a common sense and Bayesian perspective, but I don't understand how that overrules EV calcs. One must be flawed somewhere since they're in direct contradiction with each other. I'm at the point where I'm starting to think that it makes no difference, but can't find a flaw anywhere in the math to point to and say, "That's why."

GoT
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