[Yeknom58]

I know we might be getting into semantics here but I think you are slightly misinterpreting ed's concept. In a large pot if you miss a CR that's a big disaster but if you thought a CR would help you win the pot a significantly larger percentage of the time, you should still CR as the risk is worth the reward. In this particular hand the raise is directly to his left so there is no real way to protect his hand with a CR on the turn. This is the major point in this hand, after he realizes this fact he can evaluate the pot size. If the pot were small he would want to build that sucker up as he will win it a large percentage of the time, so it might be worth the risk of a CR to build the pot. Since the pot is already large there is no need to risk a CR and should probably just 3 bet the flop and lead the turn. In either case since both the button and the SB call the 2 bets I think he's better off 3betting the flop.