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Old 07-06-2004, 06:14 PM
DcifrThs DcifrThs is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 677
Default Re: Quick River Decision

notice the sb never called a raise...nor showed any strength...he could simply be calling here with a 4 or a 3. now what is UTG+1 betting? a lone 6? 66? i'm talkin about betting stuff that you now beat...is 77 possible, yea but you got 1...big pot though...since there is some chance that the above is accurate, you should call closing the river action. you're getting 14:1 on the call. so if you're right 1/15 times you break even, thats 93.4% (100-6.6), meaning you need to be more than 93.4% sure you're beat to fold...since a continued semibluff is quite possible, and the sb could easily have a 3 or 4 i think you should call...

-Barron
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