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Old 06-18-2004, 11:55 AM
M.B.E. M.B.E. is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Vancouver, B.C.
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I folded and, wouldn't you know it, a 7 fell on the turn. River was a 4 (pairing the board). The SB won the pot with J3o and the BB raised me out holding 65o (middle pair).

In hindsight I think I should have called, and that isn't merely results-oriented. The probability that I had at least one of my opponents already beat, plus the small-but-not-insignificant chance of my catching a set, was at least equal to the probability of the worst-case-scenario (SB winning, BB second, me third). Furthermore, the worst-case-scenario really was not too bad (I would still have almost twice as many chips as the guy in third place) while the best-case-scenario (the SB being eliminated) would have won me the whole tourney.
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