Here's an example from today's batch of SNG's. I flop top pair on the button, checked to me.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t15 (10 handed)
converter
UTG+2 (t800)
MP1 (t800)
MP2 (t800)
MP3 (t800)
CO (t800)
Hero (t800)
SB (t800)
BB (t800)
UTG (t800)
UTG+1 (t800)
Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls t15, UTG+1 calls t15, UTG+2 calls t15, MP1 calls t15, MP2 folds, MP3 calls t15, CO folds, Hero calls t15, SB completes, BB checks.
Flop: (t120) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(8 players) </font>
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, MP3 checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets t785 (All-In)</font>, SB folds, BB calls t785 (All-In), UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 folds, MP3 folds.
I knew i was ahead when i pushed. Fear flush and OE straight draws. Should i be pushing in this situation when 100% confident my hand is CURRENTLY good, and it cuts out the odds of my opponents?
Turn: (t1690) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players, 2 all-in) </font>
River: (t1690) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players, 2 all-in) </font>
Final Pot: t1690
<font color="#990066">Main Pot: t1690 (t1690), between Hero and BB.</font> > <font color="white">Pot won by BB (t1690).</font>
Results in white below: <font color="white">
BB shows 6s 7h (straight, eight high).
Hero shows Qs 8s (one pair, eights).
Outcome: BB wins t1690. </font>
so, they had the OESD, and hit on the river.
I don't care about the short term result, i want to know: IN THE LONG RUN, is it +EV to push with the best hand in the early stages and hope for a caller?
Or should i play tight with my 1 pair and hope to make it to the river and take down a small pot?
This is something i would like comments on.
Pete Harris