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Old 05-25-2004, 03:45 PM
Gomez22 Gomez22 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Ohio
Posts: 1,323
Default According to the Fundamental Theorem of Poker.... (hand hist.)

I posted this hand(without my flop decision first) on the NL/PL forum, and received many responses to fold PF here after being re-re-raised(is that even a word?)..... I thought about this a long time before I called, and I'd like to know about this hand in terms of the fundamental theorem of poker......


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) converter

UTG ($$14.45)
UTG+1 ($$36.45)
MP1 ($$27.60)
Gomez22 ($$43.40)
MP3 ($$13.65)
CO ($$46.20)
Button ($$13.40)
SB ($$23.60)
BB ($$61.60)

Preflop: Gomez22 is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG folds, <font color="CC3333">UTG+1 raises to $1</font>, MP1 calls $1, <font color="CC3333">Gomez22 raises to $5</font>, MP3 folds, CO folds, Button folds, SB folds, BB folds, <font color="CC3333">UTG+1 raises to $36.45</font>, MP1 folds, Gomez22 calls $31.45.

Flop: ($74.65) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players) </font>

Turn: ($74.65) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players) </font>

River: ($74.65) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players) </font>

Final Pot: $74.65
<font color="#990066">Main Pot: $74.65, between UTG+1 and Gomez22.</font> &gt; <font color="white">Pot won by Gomez22 ($74.65).</font>

Results in white below: <font color="white">
UTG+1 shows Qs Qd (two pair, queens and nines).
Gomez22 shows Kc Ac (two pair, aces and nines).
Outcome: Gomez22 wins $74.65. </font>


According to twodimes(thanks to AL Capone for the info):

pokenum -h ac kc - qd qs
Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ac Kc 787966 46.02 917606 53.59 6732 0.39 0.462
Qs Qd 917606 53.59 787966 46.02 6732 0.39 0.538

So, basically, if I KNEW his hole cards, I'm a 1.15-1 dog here, and am getting 1.40-1 ($44.20-$31.45) on my pot odds to call here(granted, nowhere near the best of it, but within the realms of making this a VERY small +EV play).

With odds as they are above, is this a case where in the fundamental thoerem of poker, I made the right decision, but in the "real world" I made a wrong decision???

This hand is still bugging me, and I can't figure 1 way or another if I played it right or wrong.....
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