Thread: luck vs skill
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Old 04-12-2004, 04:46 PM
El Barto El Barto is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 119
Default Re: luck vs skill

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Bottom line to be a winning player in the LONG RUN is 0% luck and 100% skill. The better player eventually takes the weaker player's money. The luck factor is what effects how long it takes not as to who wins.

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I couldn't agree more!

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Let's not overstate the case. Luck can make the difference between a long term win rate of 1.1 BB/hr vs. 1.3 BB/hr even over a very long term.

Add up the 10 biggest pots you have ever won, and think how your long term win rate would be different if you just lost those extra 10 pots. For a lot of us, this would make a noticable dent in our bankroll.

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If luck factor has not evened out then by definition you are still in the short run.

I know this seems like splitting hairs but to new players it is very important to understand.

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As humans, we do not live long enough to truly be in the long run, although we can get closer and closer as the years go by. We all live in the short run.
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