Re: Fold an overpair to a single bet?
Hard to get away from it. The preflop cap tells you a lot. For the AVG player it says not only a made hand but a made big hand, (QQ,AA,KK), not to many people even cap with JJ. I think the next level kind of players get away from this hand on the turn after being 3 bet on the flop. I haven't done the math but I have to think for an SB you are getting pretty close to odds to hit your set on the turn. He probably pays you off pretty well too. I don't think I could muster a fold there. The river you're dead time to fold there really is nothing he could have that you could beat except AK and I doubt from your description he is a player playing AK like that.
The only rational for calling on that river is if you haven't called one down yet. The fish will start thinking they can make you fold and take shots at you.
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