Re: Quick math question
[ QUOTE ]
OK not getting any help here.
Let's say, just for fun, that he calls with any Ace, any 2 face, any pair.
Is the push right or neutral then?
Ryan
[/ QUOTE ]
Any ace, any paint (I included tens), any pair is about 28% of hands.
100-28 = 72% of time he folds.
fold EV = $6 * .72
K3s is about %38 against that range.
call and we lose $29 * .62
calll and we win $33 * .38
EV = ($6 * .72) + ($33 * .28 * .38) - ($29 * .28 * .62) = 4.32 + 3.51 - 5.03 = +$2.80.
The play has an EV of + $2.80.
|