Re: KQ vs twink
this may not be mathematically correct, and i'll probably get slammed for this by the forum, but if this is your read, and it's solid, i am not sure i bet the river, i may check/call it at least half the time.
my philosophy is that even if i miss a bet on the river, the pf/flop/turn play alone will bankrupt the uberfish. there's always the next hand, and they are not going anywhere if they win this one. probably not even if they lose it.
edit: oh yeah, at 11-1 this is an easy call. a cap would be scary, so between 11-1 odds of the call vs. 13-3 odds of the cap or even 12-2 in case he just calls the 3-bet, i choose 11-1.
|