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Old 12-26-2005, 12:25 AM
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Default Re: NL$2 - AKo - I\'m Sprewing Pennies

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You must have lost your monthly paycheck in this hand.

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Lets not turn 2+2 into RGP please. If a moderator could address this BS, would be nice. This is small stakes, if you are going to berate someone for posting a small stakes hand, I think you should spare us and go troll OOT instead.

As for the OP, AJ certainly got this right: just because this is low stakes doesn't mean you should play worse.

First, I'll analyze this hand as if it were at somewhat higher stakes.

PF is fine, flop is fine, on the turn I think I may check behind. Was he seeing a lot of showdowns? Did he seem like a calling station or was he just loose preflop? You only have 16 hands so I really doubt you can accurately answer these questions. If I had more information, I think that would possibly sway my decision. He doesn't seem too aggressive, so I don't see him check/raising you here if he doesn't have you beat too often, but if you make a legitimate bet you will be pretty much committed. Although if he did hit on the turn , you can likely double through him if you hit your 4 outer on the river, which you could do for free by checking behind. Villain is pretty loose preflop, so he can have many different hands to make the flush here, but he can just as easily have a hand you have dominated, and he may have an ace or an even weaker hand with a lone diamond that he will gladly call a bet with which would be incorrect for you not to bet against. I don't like betting 50c here, as it looks/is very weak, and considering we only have 16 hands on this guy and don't know how he plays, he may slam it with a weaker hand he may think is good or on a semi-bluff and knock us off our hand if we actually plan on folding.

If I felt this guy wasn't a loose-passive calling station, I think I check behind, fold if he puts me in on river if I miss, raise or call a weak/medium bet depending on bet and river, and value bet if checked to. I obviously fold if 4th diamond comes and he bets, although I may flip a coin and stab for 1/2 the pot if checked to.

At NL2 however, this is DEFINATLY overanalyzing. Although putting some thought into your game at any level is going to give you a huge edge for obvious reasons, 90% of the time your villain here is going to be a moron calling station with a marginal hand, very likely to contain one diamond that he will gladly call with, making putting in another legitimate bet on the turn FAR better than checking behind.
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