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Old 12-24-2005, 01:35 AM
DJ Sensei DJ Sensei is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Durham, NC
Posts: 148
Default Re: Where does most of your winnings come from?

1) Nearly all of my profit comes from pocket pairs, whether they be overpairs winning big against TPTK, or hitting sets against overpairs or TPTK. I suspect most posters agree in this respect.

2) In SSNL, I think pure bluffing is -EV. Against certain opponents, in certain situations, you can pull it off. But generally, you don't need to bluff to win, and trying to bluff is probably just going to lose you money.

3) A PFR combined with a flop C-bet is profitable when used wisely, of course, as is drawing with odds. On the whole though, these probably don't account for much of the profit, as much as canceling out the times you draw and don't get there, or you c-bet and get called or raised out.

4) Turn c-betting is a bit more complex, and chances are at this level, if your opponent called the flop they will call the turn too. If you're OOP, a turn c-bet generally leads to a big pot on the river in which you rarely know where you stand in the hand. Not good. Use turn c-betting with caution, and generally only with a good read (such as villain loves to chase flush draws, and there is one out on a 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] board).

5) In summary, and hopefully a helpful answer to your question: pocket pairs are the most important hands in NLHE, because your equity advantage is often very large when you have them (as a set or overpair) in comparison to a drawing hand or a weak made hand. Additionally, opponents rarely will be able to get away from TPGK on a drawless board, and the strongest weapon against TPGK is a set or overpair.

I welcome any additions or comments...
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