Hand 1, I was maybe 70% sure I had the best hand on the flop, turn changed nothing, considered folding river but was definitely good 10% of the time.

Villain was around 80/23/1, predictable superLAG and would be three-betting most aces, two broadway, 66+ (even lower maybe); I'd seen villain fold his BB to a steal, so I assumed bottom 10% or so gets folded. The PF call/flop CR/cap didn't make any sense given his past 90 hands or so. I also win if I hit a 9 or a K.

OTOH, I usually fold to the flop CR. I dropped almost 100BB at 3/6 SH overnight after a good run so I was tilting earlier, probably had some to do with it.