Re: Pocket TT
[ QUOTE ]
Does that help?
[/ QUOTE ]
Yes and no.
I was afraid of the turn card, but I still didn't know if I was ahead or behind. For all I knew UTG was drawing to an inside STR8 (AXs) but the turn didn't help him and MP1 could have had a good pocket pair but weaker than mine (not a weak J)
We are both conceding that it's possible I am still ahead and that I'm going to call the river if I don't bet the turn. (cost 1 bet)
If I bet and get check raised the hand is over. (cost 1 bet)
So I still don't see the downside of betting the turn and perhaps getting UTG to fold an inside STR8 draw or weaker pair. Every scenario is one bet, but this one has some small potential upside of a fold (however small).
I guess what it really comes down to is what probability I assign myself for being ahead because if's it's better than 1/3, then betting and getting 2 calls or betting and potentially getting a fold are both fine.
If I think I am almost certainly behind, then checking and folding saves a bet.
If I think I am probably behind and the river is dangerous, then checking and folding saves a bet.
|